A real-time macro-bias engine for ES and NQ futures. COT positioning, FRED macro data and dealer gamma exposure, combined into one directional read with intraday levels and tactical notes.
Not a signal service. Not a black box. Institutional context; you make the call.
Data sources: FRED · CFTC COT · Dealer gamma (GEX/DEX/Vanna/Charm)
Exhibit 1: Directional Bias Panel, ES, 2 Oct 2026
§ 1 — What’s inside
Built for futures traders who want macro, positioning and dealer flow in front of them before they take a position.
Every model in the engine is plotted on one map, bias against conviction. The 0–100 Bias Score summarises where the weight of evidence sits.
Exhibit 2: Signal Constellation, bias vs conviction
Growth and inflation data from FRED place the economy in one of four regimes: Goldilocks, Reflation, Stagflation or Deflation. A weighted macro composite from −1 to +1 translates the regime into a risk posture.
Exhibit 3: Macro regime and weighted composite
Net gamma, delta, vanna and charm exposure of option dealers, converted from index options to ES and NQ points. The call wall, put wall and gamma flip mark where dealer hedging tends to pin price or extend a move.
Exhibit 4: Dealer gamma by strike, ES
Gamma flip and walls in native ES and NQ points, next to prior-day and overnight reference levels. Each level shows its distance from the last price in points.
Exhibit 5: Intraday levels, ES
§ 2 — The full picture
Macro, positioning and dealer flow resolve into one read, with a plain-language note on what it means for the session.
Exhibit 6: The Alpha-Bias terminal, ES, 2 Oct 2026
A composite of growth, inflation, volatility and credit: one number, one direction.
Gamma flip, call and put walls converted to native ES and NQ prices.
Regime-aware guidance on where to fade, where not to chase, and why.
§ 3 — Approach
Public macro data, regulatory positioning data and options-market data are scored independently and combined into one directional read. The models and their weighting are proprietary; the inputs and the limits are not.
Federal Reserve Economic Data (FRED), the CFTC Commitments of Traders report, index options for dealer positioning, and live ES and NQ futures bars for intraday levels.
Macro inputs every few minutes during market hours, dealer positioning every 60 seconds in session, positioning data weekly after the CFTC release.
The read is context, not a forecast. Positioning data is published weekly with a lag, dealer positioning is an estimate from public options data and can shift quickly around expiries, and no read replaces your own risk management.
§ 4 — How it works
FRED macro, CFTC COT, dealer gamma and live futures bars, refreshed continuously through the day.
Twelve models score bias and conviction, classify the regime and locate the levels that matter for ES and NQ.
A clear directional read with a tactical note, ready before the open.
§ 5 — Pricing
No tiers and no upsells. Full terminal access, month to month.
$34.90 / month
The Alpha-Bias terminal for ES and NQ futures.
Cancel anytime. Secure checkout via Stripe.
§ 6 — Questions
No. Alpha-Bias gives you macro context and levels; it never tells you to buy or sell. You keep full discretion. It is decision support, not a signal generator.
Macro data from the Federal Reserve (FRED), positioning from the CFTC Commitments of Traders report, options-derived dealer gamma, and live ES and NQ futures bars for intraday levels.
Yes. Every read, level and score is available for both S&P 500 (ES) and Nasdaq-100 (NQ) E-mini futures.
Macro inputs refresh every few minutes, dealer gamma every minute through the session, and COT weekly after the CFTC release on Friday.
Yes. It is a month-to-month subscription managed through Stripe; you can cancel in a few clicks, with no lock-in.
Alpha-Bias provides context, not trade signals, so there is no trade-by-trade track record. A documented history of the daily read is in preparation.
Futures are leveraged and losses can exceed your deposit. The bias can be wrong, data can be delayed or revised, and no read replaces your own risk management.
The directional read, the regime and the levels that matter, before the next open.
§ Support
Questions about the terminal or your account? We reply within 24 hours.
§ Pricing
Full terminal access for ES and NQ, month to month.
Pro plan
$34.90 / month
Secure checkout via Stripe. Cancel anytime. No hidden fees.
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